PORTLAND, Ore., Sept. 30 -- Bill Parish of Parish & Company Portfolio
Advisors of Portland, Oregon today released an official response to numerous
inquiries made based upon a press release issued on Monday 9/28/98 regarding
the accounting for employee stock options based upon the 1997 10K SEC filings
for Microsoft and Cisco Systems. This response includes an update based
upon 1998 SEC 10K filings made this week. .
Based upon this updated analysis of Microsoft and Cisco Systems 1998
10K filings and the near failure of the Long-Term Credit Corp hedge fund
last week, Parish & Company now officially adopts the position that
the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) should report to and be
overseen by Arthur Levitt and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
for the purpose of instituting accounting reform in order to restore confidence
and stability to the global capital markets. More independent oversight
is needed from outside the accounting community.
It is now also the official position of Parish & Company that Robert
Rubin of the Treasury Department, Alan Greenspan of the Federal Reserve,
John McCain, Carl Levin, & Bill Archer in the U.S. House of Representatives,
Ralph Nader, Consumer Advocate and Janet Reno of the Department of Justice
should collaborate and intervene on the SEC's behalf to affect this change
immediately and eliminate the speculative bubble created by employee stock
option accounting which could seriously disrupt the financial system. This
is particularly important given that these hedge funds are using technology
securities to justify leveraging derivative based investments.
In a related position, Parish & Company now also adopts a stance
that the anti-trust case against Microsoft scheduled for October should
be dismissed. This position is based upon the rationale that technology
products become rapidly obsolete and that Microsoft's core strength is
instead the ability to hire and retain smart, highly motivated, creative
and dedicated employees. A key part of this strategy is to liberally issue
employee stock options and when the cost of these options is not recorded
on the financial books, earnings are overstated and lead to an inflated
stock price and the capacity to continually hire this top talent. It is
rather surprising that options granted in fiscal 1998, per the 10K filing
this week, already have a overall market value in excess of the exercise
price of $3.6 billion. That alone eliminates more than 50 percent of the
entire net income for 1998.
By achieving accounting reform in this area, large dominant technology
firms including Microsoft and Cisco Systems will most likely be more conservative
in issuing stock options which will in turn channel more of these top workers
back toward smaller newer firms able to issue stock options more liberally.
This will also allow companies in older established industries to compete
with Microsoft and Cisco Systems on a more level playing field given that
these firms typically do not issue stock options. Simply put, earnings
will be comparable again and stocks will be valued accordingly.
If such accounting reforms were instituted for employee stock options,
the net income for Microsoft and Cisco Systems would be restated as follows
for fiscal year 1998. This is based upon requiring two changes. The first
change would require that compensation expense taken on their internal
tax books be also reflected on the external financial statements. The second
change would require accruing an expense for 15 percent of the remaining
future obligation outstanding, effectively amortizing this future liability
over 6.5 years. A review of the last 3 years, per the 10K, indicates between
16 and 19 percent of options outstanding were indeed exercised the following
year.
Microsoft's Chief Financial Officer did note in a 12/4/97 Wall St. Journal
article by Roger Lowenstein that this obligation to employees ``is probably
the most important liability we have.'' This would seem to present a strong
case to institute these reforms, restate earnings as follows and help stabilize
the global capital markets. His remarks came when the liability was $26
billion. It has now grown to $40 billion, almost 10 times annual net income
based upon the 10K SEC filing made this week and Parish & Company calculates
that this will grow by $2.2 billion for every $5 increase in the price
of Microsoft's stock. Cisco Systems liability has similarly grown to $15
billion, more than 10 times their record setting annual net income.
Parish & Company maintains that with this restatement both Microsoft
and Cisco Systems, even though great industry leading companies, are indeed
unprofitable businesses. Investors appear to be in a mathematical vice
given that every $10 increase in the stock eliminates more than 25 percent
of annual net income, even before making the above adjustments.
Most unusual about the accounting for employee stock options is that
for fiscal year 1998 Microsoft received a cash benefit of $2.5 billion
which financed almost 30 percent of their entire annual operating expenses.
This came in two pieces, the first being employees paying the exercise
price to get options and secondly from the IRS in the form of reduced taxes
by taking a $4.4 billion deduction for compensation expense on its tax
return. Many top CPAs see this as a positive impact but a closer look reveals
the obvious, employees are prepaying their own wages in a massive pyramid
scheme.
As index mutual funds are forced to continue purchasing these shares
based upon inflated earnings, Parish & Company also maintains that
a classic asset bubble is being created in capital markets and will contribute
to additional financial difficulties unless reform is initiated. The largest
index fund, the Vanguard Index 500, is now the second largest mutual fund
in the country and a prominent fund in many 401K retirement plans.
In an unrelated matter, Parish & Company also notes that Microsoft
earned $538 million in 1998 from selling put options on their own stock.
Not disclosed is the average strike price and risk exposure if their stock
were to decline sharply. This is clearly a highly speculative hedging activity
that requires more in depth disclosure.
Three related articles of interest regarding the accounting of employee
stock options include the following: ``Stock options are not a free lunch''
by Gretchen Morgenson of Forbes Magazine May 18, 1998 (Cover story), ``Coming
Clean on Company Stock Options'' by Roger Lowenstein of the Wall St. Journal
on 6/26/97 and ``Cracking the Books: Cisco: Talk About Wage Inflation!''
by Kevin Petrie of Thestreet.com on 9/21/98.
Parish & Company is an independent Fee Based Investment Advisor
to Individuals, Trusts and Retirement Plans based in Portland, Oregon.
The firm produces objective financial analysis based upon accounting facts,
manages individual and trust investment portfolios and advises companies
on how to improve their retirement plans by providing independent oversight
utilizing an employee based benchmark system. No fees are accepted from
the investment industry, either directly or indirectly. Bill Parish can
be contacted through the following web site at www.billparish.com or by
phone at 503-643-6999.
SOURCE: Parish & Company
Employee Stock Option Accounting Implications: Microsoft, Cisco Systems,
Long-Term Capital, Convergence Asset Management, FASB, Alan Greenspan &
Federal Reserve, Robert Rubin & Treasury, Janet Reno & Department
of Justice, Art Levitt of SEC, Ralph Nader, John McCain, Carl Levin, &
Bill Archer
($Billions)
Microsoft Cisco Systems
Fiscal Year 1998 Net Income per SEC 10K $ 4.5 $ 1.3
Less After Tax Expense Taken on Tax Books
for Employee Stock Options per 10K 2.9 .8
Adjusted Income $ 1.6 $ .5
Less: After Tax Amortization of 15 percent
of Remaining future Liability for Stock Options
at end of Fiscal 1998
Microsoft ($40B x .15 x.65)
Cisco Systems ($15B x .15 x.65) 3.9 1.4
Restated Earnings per Parish & Company Analysis (2.3) (.9)
An estimate of the restated price earnings ratio is not possible since
this restatement of earnings indicates that both companies have a net loss
for fiscal year 1998 after reporting the deduction for the exercise of
options that was taken on the internal tax books and accruing for 15 percent
of the remaining future obligation to employees outstanding. A common error
is to relate the cost of stock options to the overall market value of the
stock rather than the operating results of the business. After adjusting
net income to reflect this compensation expense, net income can then be
related to the market value of the stock. The combined market value of
Microsoft and Cisco Systems is now more than $380 billion.